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Wake up call for investors
- Shares fall - US S&P index experienced its worst fall since
Sept 2002 due to credit market concerns and FTSE saw this year's
gains wiped out
- Leveraged buy-out bubble seems to have burst - banks having to
pull out of Chrysler and Alliance Boots deals
- Expanding crisis in US mortgage markets - one of the biggest
US lenders saying the problems are spilling over into conventional
loans
- A flight to safety saw US government bonds indicating that
investors are re-assessing risk
- Global market liquidity starting to reduce as investors unwind
the Yen carry trade (where people borrow in a low currency and buy
higher yielding dollar assets
Read full article
(FT.com)
Comment:
The crisis in the US subprime mortgage market could well be echoed
in the UK. In the last 2-3 years some UK mortgage lenders have been
very relaxed about their lending and a few have even lent on 6 times
earnings. Also many UK borrowers will see the expiry of their fixed
rate terms and will have to re-mortgage at a higher rate. The
warning signs that the UK housing bubble may burst are clear to see
- view out
warning signs article.
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PricewaterhouseCoopers claims that Britons now
spend almost one fifth (19%) of our disposable income paying
off debts. This is even higher than at the start of the last
housing crash in 1989.
When the economy is in
recession it is quite difficult to get a loan even with a good
idea. When the economy is booming its is easy to get a loan,
even with a bad idea. It's never been easier to borrow money!
Funny how banks never learn this lesson (June 2007)
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